"How many panels do I need?" is the first question every buyer asks — and the honest answer is: it depends on what you want to power. This post gives you the actual maths, worked examples for common Nigerian home sizes, and tips for sizing correctly so you don't under-buy or over-spend.
The Formula
Number of panels = Daily energy need (kWh) ÷ (Panel wattage (kW) × Peak Sun Hours × System Derate). Use 0.80 for the derate — it bundles inverter efficiency (~96%), wiring losses (~2%), and temperature/dust losses (~5%). Peak Sun Hours: Lagos/PH 4.2, Abuja 4.6, Kano/Sokoto 5.0.
Step 1 — Estimate Your Daily kWh
- Refrigerator (200L frost-free): ~1.5 kWh/day
- LED lighting (10 × 9W, 6 hrs): ~0.54 kWh/day
- Ceiling fans (3 × 55W, 10 hrs): ~1.65 kWh/day
- TV 43 inch (80W, 5 hrs): ~0.4 kWh/day
- Water pump (0.75HP, 1 hr/day): ~0.56 kWh/day
- Phone/laptop charging: ~0.3 kWh/day
- 1.5HP Inverter AC (1,100W, 6 hrs): ~6.6 kWh/day
- SUBTOTAL without AC: ~5 kWh/day | with AC: ~11.6 kWh/day
Worked Examples
- 2-bedroom flat, Lagos, no AC, 8 kWh/day → 8 ÷ (0.5 × 4.2 × 0.8) = 4.8 → 5 × 500W panels (2.5 kWp).
- 3-bedroom bungalow, Abuja, one AC, 12 kWh/day → 12 ÷ (0.5 × 4.6 × 0.8) = 6.5 → 7 × 500W panels (3.5 kWp).
- 4-bedroom duplex, Kano, one AC + heavy load, 16 kWh/day → 16 ÷ (0.5 × 5.0 × 0.8) = 8.0 → 8 × 500W panels, or 6 × 665W panels (4.0 kWp either way).
- Tip: Higher-wattage panels (620W–665W) mean fewer units on the roof for the same total power — better if roof space is limited.
Harmattan Dust — The Hidden Panel Thief
Between November and February, harmattan dust deposits on panel glass can reduce output by 15–25%. If you're sizing for year-round reliability, either add one extra panel to the array or commit to a monthly rinse. Our cleaning guide explains the safest way to clean panels without scratching the anti-reflective coating.
Panel Recommendations by Array Size
- Small array (3–5 panels): Astronergy TOPCon N5 480W or Itel 410W — compact, easy to mount, lower upfront cost.
- Medium array (5–8 panels): Jinko 590W N-Type Bifacial or Itel 590W — good balance of output and price.
- Large array (8+ panels): Jinko 620W N-Type or Canadian Solar Hiku7 665W — fewest panels for maximum kWp.